← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.65+0.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami-0.03+0.77vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.27-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-0.32-0.38vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.05-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6728.1%1st Place
-
2.96Christopher Newport University0.6523.8%1st Place
-
3.77University of Miami-0.0312.0%1st Place
-
3.33Old Dominion University0.2717.0%1st Place
-
4.62Princeton University-0.325.9%1st Place
-
3.69North Carolina State University-0.0513.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 28.1% | 26.0% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 23.8% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 17.0% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 42.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.