← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.72vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami-0.03+1.74vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.27+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.65-0.99vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-0.32-0.52vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.05-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6727.0%1st Place
-
3.74University of Miami-0.0312.7%1st Place
-
3.34Old Dominion University0.2718.1%1st Place
-
3.01Christopher Newport University0.6521.3%1st Place
-
4.48Princeton University-0.328.5%1st Place
-
3.72North Carolina State University-0.0512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 27.0% | 23.2% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 17.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 21.3% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 39.6% |
| Maddison Carew | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.