Race 7A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

6.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
John McGlynn 8.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 10.2% 8.4% 8.0% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.9% 4.5% 3.8% 2.3% 0.4%
Blake Burgess 7.9% 11.0% 11.2% 8.8% 10.7% 8.5% 9.6% 8.3% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 6.6% 4.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.1% 10.5% 10.1% 8.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0%
Sean Willerford 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.6% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 10.2% 11.8% 12.2% 15.3% 10.8%
Mike Brendlinger 2.6% 1.8% 4.0% 3.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 6.5% 8.8% 12.8% 13.7% 12.5% 8.0%
Michael Croteau 13.8% 12.9% 12.4% 12.2% 12.9% 9.8% 8.6% 6.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 16.4% 16.6% 13.7% 12.7% 11.4% 10.1% 5.4% 4.8% 3.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Howard 10.4% 11.5% 12.3% 9.8% 9.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.7% 6.5% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 7.8% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 8.2% 9.9% 11.0% 7.9% 6.5% 4.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 10.2% 15.2% 17.0% 18.0%
Daniel Barry 2.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 10.8% 10.8% 13.3% 13.0% 10.7%
Thomas Presti 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 11.1% 12.6% 14.3% 12.7% 7.7%
Christopher Calahan 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.3% 7.9% 9.3% 18.1% 41.0%
Lucas Adams 17.6% 15.3% 13.1% 12.8% 9.3% 9.6% 7.5% 6.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 7.4% 10.4% 8.8% 9.6% 10.1% 8.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.