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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami-0.03+2.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.67vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+0.32vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65-0.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05-1.36vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Miami-0.0313.0%1st Place
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2.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6726.9%1st Place
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3.32Old Dominion University0.2717.3%1st Place
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3.04Christopher Newport University0.6520.9%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University-0.0514.3%1st Place
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4.54Princeton University-0.327.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 19.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 26.9% | 24.1% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Emma Friedauer | 17.3% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.9% | 21.3% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 14.3% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 16.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.