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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+2.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+0.74vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05-0.22vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32-0.50vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.27-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Christopher Newport University0.6522.0%1st Place
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2.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6729.2%1st Place
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3.74University of Miami-0.0312.3%1st Place
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3.78North Carolina State University-0.0512.4%1st Place
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4.5Princeton University-0.327.6%1st Place
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3.36Old Dominion University0.2716.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 22.0% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 29.2% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 40.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 16.3% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.