Race 9A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
William Howard 12.5% 10.3% 11.6% 11.2% 9.3% 10.6% 9.0% 6.9% 6.9% 4.2% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Ben Weigel 17.7% 16.0% 15.0% 11.5% 11.7% 7.8% 7.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Blake Burgess 8.9% 9.7% 10.4% 9.0% 11.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Mike Brendlinger 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 4.1% 2.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 8.1% 7.3% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 12.2% 7.7%
Thomas Presti 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 4.8% 6.4% 8.4% 7.9% 13.1% 13.6% 12.3% 8.1%
Vincent Marchetto 3.8% 6.1% 5.7% 5.2% 6.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.4% 10.6% 11.0% 9.2% 7.8% 6.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Lucas Adams 16.4% 14.8% 14.9% 13.0% 10.7% 9.8% 6.2% 5.0% 4.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Croteau 14.4% 15.0% 13.0% 11.6% 10.0% 9.0% 9.2% 6.4% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Paige 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 10.0% 10.6% 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Robert Lippincott 4.6% 5.1% 4.8% 7.5% 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 10.6% 9.1% 10.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.7% 3.2% 1.1%
Zachary O'Brien 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 6.5% 9.4% 8.4% 14.1% 17.4% 18.9%
Daniel Barry 2.2% 1.2% 2.5% 1.5% 2.8% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 4.7% 8.4% 10.9% 12.0% 13.0% 14.4% 11.6%
John McGlynn 6.1% 7.0% 6.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.5% 7.9% 6.1% 3.7% 1.9% 1.0%
Christopher Calahan 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 3.5% 4.0% 7.1% 8.2% 9.8% 18.1% 38.0%
Sean Willerford 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 3.9% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 12.1% 14.2% 14.0% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.