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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+1.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.73vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+1.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.27-0.69vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Christopher Newport University0.6522.2%1st Place
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2.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6726.2%1st Place
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4.58Princeton University-0.327.3%1st Place
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3.31Old Dominion University0.2716.1%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University-0.0513.9%1st Place
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3.68University of Miami-0.0314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 22.2% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 7.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 26.2% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 43.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 16.1% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.