Race 2B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Hulse 2.9% 2.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 4.8% 5.6% 7.9% 10.4% 10.0% 13.9% 13.3% 11.4%
Willem Sandberg 21.0% 17.8% 14.2% 12.5% 10.0% 8.3% 6.4% 4.2% 1.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Saldi 10.8% 12.3% 9.6% 9.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.6% 10.0% 6.3% 6.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Connor Brady 11.9% 13.0% 13.4% 11.3% 11.2% 10.5% 7.7% 6.1% 5.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Johanna Kincaid 9.7% 11.2% 11.6% 12.4% 10.5% 8.6% 7.9% 8.2% 7.5% 4.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Tom Peabody 8.8% 8.3% 8.9% 9.1% 9.7% 9.3% 8.7% 8.5% 7.6% 7.7% 5.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.9%
Edward Moan 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 10.8% 10.8% 17.5% 20.2%
William Simon 5.9% 4.7% 6.4% 5.8% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 9.4% 7.7% 9.7% 8.5% 8.4% 4.2%
Matthew Connolly 1.8% 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 4.6% 8.7% 11.2% 17.0% 38.2%
Samuel Cushing 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 10.8% 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 8.8% 7.0% 5.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.6%
Christopher Jensen 5.7% 5.5% 5.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 9.9% 8.9% 8.6% 10.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.4% 3.9%
Sean McLaughlin 3.8% 3.0% 4.7% 4.9% 5.3% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 10.9% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.5% 6.5%
Brooke Baker 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 3.7% 5.7% 4.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.1% 10.0% 10.9% 10.1% 11.2% 7.7%
Michael Rottier 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 4.8% 7.1% 5.8% 6.1% 7.1% 8.2% 9.6% 12.4% 11.1% 8.6% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.