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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.67vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+0.73vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65-0.93vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.27-1.67vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6728.6%1st Place
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4.49Princeton University-0.327.5%1st Place
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3.73University of Miami-0.0313.0%1st Place
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3.07Christopher Newport University0.6520.0%1st Place
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3.33Old Dominion University0.2717.9%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University-0.0513.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 28.6% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 41.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.0% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 18.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.0% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 7.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 17.9% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 11.7% |
| Maddison Carew | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.