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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+2.03vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+1.65vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+0.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.31vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.32-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Christopher Newport University0.6520.8%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University-0.0514.0%1st Place
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3.34Old Dominion University0.2716.4%1st Place
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2.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6727.7%1st Place
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4.53Princeton University-0.327.6%1st Place
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3.76University of Miami-0.0313.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 20.8% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| Emma Friedauer | 16.4% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 10.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 27.7% | 23.2% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 42.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.