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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.87+1.53vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.04+1.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.27-0.89vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.98+1.57vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.90-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.79-0.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.86-1.22vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.45-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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3.82Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.11Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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5.57Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.0%1st Place
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4.09Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.28Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 27.0% | 29.6% | 20.8% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.5% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 40.9% | 28.3% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dinneen | 8.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 24.0% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.