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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+2.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.74vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+1.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.27-0.69vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Christopher Newport University0.6521.9%1st Place
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2.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6726.2%1st Place
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4.6Princeton University-0.326.6%1st Place
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3.31Old Dominion University0.2718.0%1st Place
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3.67North Carolina State University-0.0513.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Miami-0.0314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 21.9% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 26.2% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 42.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.0% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 11.7% |
| Maddison Carew | 13.0% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 14.2% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.