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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.68vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+0.94vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+1.56vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.27-0.71vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6726.9%1st Place
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2.94Christopher Newport University0.6524.2%1st Place
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4.56Princeton University-0.326.1%1st Place
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3.29Old Dominion University0.2717.1%1st Place
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3.76North Carolina State University-0.0512.4%1st Place
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3.77University of Miami-0.0313.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cho-Cho Williams | 26.9% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
Grace Watlington | 24.2% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 6.8% |
Carly Mraz | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 41.2% |
Emma Friedauer | 17.1% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 10.0% |
Maddison Carew | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 18.4% |
Arantxa Argibay | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.