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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+3.46vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+1.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.27+0.30vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03-1.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Princeton University-0.326.7%1st Place
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3.05Christopher Newport University0.6520.9%1st Place
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3.3Old Dominion University0.2717.1%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University-0.0513.0%1st Place
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3.78University of Miami-0.0313.2%1st Place
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2.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6729.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 39.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.9% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 17.1% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
| Maddison Carew | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 18.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 29.2% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.