Race 7B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Saldi 14.0% 13.9% 12.8% 10.9% 12.1% 9.5% 9.0% 6.4% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Connor Brady 17.3% 15.2% 15.1% 14.0% 10.6% 8.3% 6.6% 5.9% 3.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Edward Moan 2.3% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.8% 6.6% 6.5% 8.0% 9.7% 15.0% 15.4% 19.0%
Sky Adams 12.4% 12.4% 12.1% 12.2% 8.0% 10.6% 9.2% 7.8% 6.2% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2%
William Simon 8.1% 6.8% 8.4% 7.2% 8.7% 8.7% 8.3% 9.5% 10.7% 7.8% 7.5% 5.7% 2.6%
Christopher Hulse 3.9% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 9.8% 12.4% 14.2% 10.2%
Tom Peabody 13.1% 11.7% 11.4% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 7.3% 8.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Samuel Cushing 10.4% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9% 11.1% 9.8% 10.4% 8.0% 5.8% 5.0% 2.5% 2.2% 0.6%
Brooke Baker 4.4% 5.4% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 5.7% 9.6% 8.3% 10.3% 11.4% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2%
Matthew Connolly 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 2.3% 1.9% 3.8% 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 8.9% 10.7% 16.4% 34.9%
Genevieve Marquardt 3.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.9% 12.0% 13.6% 11.8%
Sean McLaughlin 4.7% 5.9% 4.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 8.8% 11.0% 11.5% 10.6% 8.7% 5.9%
Michael Rottier 3.8% 5.5% 5.6% 6.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.6% 9.4% 10.2% 10.4% 10.7% 9.2% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.