Race 9B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Baker 5.3% 3.9% 4.5% 6.5% 8.1% 7.5% 9.2% 7.8% 8.6% 10.8% 11.3% 9.5% 7.0%
Michael Saldi 13.2% 15.1% 12.1% 11.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.5%
Tom Peabody 10.3% 11.8% 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 10.3% 9.3% 9.0% 5.9% 5.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Connor Brady 16.4% 16.8% 15.1% 12.1% 10.0% 8.9% 6.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Matthew Connolly 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.1% 2.7% 5.1% 5.9% 5.1% 9.5% 9.0% 18.0% 31.9%
Samuel Cushing 12.4% 11.1% 11.0% 10.7% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 6.0% 7.0% 5.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Christopher Hulse 4.4% 4.1% 4.2% 6.5% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.4% 12.4% 13.3% 11.0%
Edward Moan 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 4.6% 6.9% 9.2% 10.4% 13.1% 14.9% 20.0%
William Simon 6.8% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 7.5% 9.1% 9.2% 9.9% 10.0% 7.8% 8.2% 6.3% 3.9%
Sky Adams 13.4% 11.2% 13.1% 12.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.1% 6.6% 5.4% 5.4% 2.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Sean McLaughlin 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 9.6% 9.2% 7.2% 4.7%
Genevieve Marquardt 2.3% 3.7% 3.4% 3.5% 6.6% 5.0% 6.4% 7.2% 8.6% 9.7% 13.4% 16.0% 14.2%
Michael Rottier 4.9% 5.3% 4.7% 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 10.5% 10.0% 10.4% 11.7% 8.0% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.