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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+6.07vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+2.04vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+3.67vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.98-1.41vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71+4.34vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-3.38vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23-1.48vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.23-3.71vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.17-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-1.88-1.41vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07North Carolina State University-0.054.2%1st Place
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4.04North Carolina State University1.1215.7%1st Place
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6.67Duke University0.066.1%1st Place
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2.59College of Charleston1.9834.1%1st Place
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7.13University of North Carolina-0.054.8%1st Place
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7.65University of North Carolina-0.243.7%1st Place
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11.34University of South Carolina-1.710.8%1st Place
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4.62Clemson University0.7311.4%1st Place
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7.52Clemson University0.233.6%1st Place
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6.29Clemson University0.236.7%1st Place
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6.46Clemson University-0.176.4%1st Place
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11.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.7%1st Place
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11.59University of Tennessee-1.880.7%1st Place
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10.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddison Carew | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 34.1% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Gates | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 23.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 28.5% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.