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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.58vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+4.73vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.12+1.07vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+3.11vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.23+2.44vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.24-0.41vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17-2.60vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.23-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.71+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Tennessee-1.88-0.30vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58College of Charleston1.9833.6%1st Place
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6.73Duke University0.065.4%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University1.1214.5%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University-0.054.7%1st Place
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7.44Clemson University0.234.0%1st Place
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4.51Clemson University0.7314.6%1st Place
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7.06University of North Carolina-0.054.5%1st Place
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7.59University of North Carolina-0.243.5%1st Place
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6.4Clemson University-0.175.7%1st Place
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6.32Clemson University0.236.4%1st Place
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11.38University of South Carolina-1.710.8%1st Place
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11.7University of Tennessee-1.880.7%1st Place
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11.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.0%1st Place
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10.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 33.6% | 25.7% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 24.9% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 29.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 29.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.