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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.23+6.47vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+2.10vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.17+3.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.98-1.39vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-0.38vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06+0.57vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.23-0.76vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.05-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+1.70vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.24-3.44vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.63vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-1.88-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Clemson University0.233.5%1st Place
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4.1North Carolina State University1.1215.4%1st Place
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6.5Clemson University-0.176.2%1st Place
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2.61College of Charleston1.9833.7%1st Place
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4.62Clemson University0.7312.0%1st Place
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6.57Duke University0.065.4%1st Place
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6.24Clemson University0.236.5%1st Place
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7.08North Carolina State University-0.054.0%1st Place
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7.06University of North Carolina-0.055.3%1st Place
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11.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.8%1st Place
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7.56University of North Carolina-0.244.3%1st Place
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10.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.1%1st Place
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11.37University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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11.59University of Tennessee-1.881.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Barnes | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 33.7% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 32.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 22.4% |
| Danielle Clement | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.