Race 2A

lark-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Paice 27.4% 22.2% 14.8% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 4.4% 2.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Benjamin Mende 8.5% 5.6% 11.1% 9.7% 8.8% 13.3% 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 7.7%
Justin Marks 13.3% 13.2% 13.1% 12.6% 13.9% 11.6% 9.5% 7.4% 3.9% 1.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 9.3% 12.0% 12.0% 13.0% 11.3% 13.0% 11.6% 8.0% 7.3% 2.5%
William Kresic 5.8% 7.5% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% 11.9% 13.3% 17.4% 15.0%
Ames Lyman 11.8% 10.5% 10.9% 13.6% 12.3% 10.0% 12.4% 9.9% 5.3% 3.3%
Johannes Raatz 11.6% 14.3% 14.4% 13.8% 12.2% 10.8% 10.0% 6.5% 4.7% 1.7%
Francisco Salas 2.6% 2.7% 4.4% 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 7.8% 10.5% 17.0% 38.4%
Michael O'Brien 5.7% 7.7% 7.0% 8.3% 10.2% 11.4% 11.4% 15.6% 11.8% 10.9%
Jacob Hardy 4.0% 4.3% 6.5% 6.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 15.0% 19.2% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.