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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+5.01vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05+3.04vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-0.44vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12-1.92vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.23+0.39vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.23-1.61vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17-2.53vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.71+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.24-4.46vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-1.88-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57College of Charleston1.9833.2%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University-0.054.3%1st Place
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6.73Duke University0.064.9%1st Place
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7.04University of North Carolina-0.054.7%1st Place
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4.56Clemson University0.7312.5%1st Place
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4.08North Carolina State University1.1216.6%1st Place
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7.39Clemson University0.234.1%1st Place
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6.39Clemson University0.235.9%1st Place
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6.47Clemson University-0.175.7%1st Place
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11.39University of South Carolina-1.710.9%1st Place
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10.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.9%1st Place
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7.54University of North Carolina-0.244.9%1st Place
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11.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.8%1st Place
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11.62University of Tennessee-1.880.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 33.2% | 25.6% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Cook | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 24.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 13.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 22.8% | 29.2% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.