Race 3A

lark-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Justin Marks 16.1% 14.4% 13.5% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 9.4% 7.2% 4.6% 1.5%
Ames Lyman 10.8% 10.1% 12.8% 12.3% 12.2% 10.9% 11.6% 9.2% 5.8% 4.3%
Ian Paice 24.7% 20.9% 17.0% 13.0% 9.7% 7.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Timothy Lorenzen 10.4% 10.8% 12.1% 12.7% 13.4% 10.2% 11.3% 8.7% 7.2% 3.2%
Johannes Raatz 13.4% 13.8% 13.2% 13.6% 12.4% 11.8% 8.3% 6.6% 5.0% 1.9%
Jacob Hardy 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 7.1% 7.2% 8.7% 11.4% 11.8% 19.4% 19.5%
Michael O'Brien 4.8% 6.6% 8.6% 8.0% 10.8% 10.8% 11.9% 14.4% 14.3% 9.8%
Francisco Salas 2.7% 2.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 7.6% 11.8% 15.7% 39.0%
William Kresic 5.1% 6.3% 5.6% 7.3% 8.4% 11.4% 10.9% 13.9% 17.2% 13.9%
Benjamin Mende 6.7% 9.8% 8.5% 10.2% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 14.1% 10.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.