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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.50vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+2.56vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05+4.14vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05+2.31vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12-1.84vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.24-0.45vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.17-2.62vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.46vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-4.80vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.71-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-1.88-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5College of Charleston1.9835.4%1st Place
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4.56Clemson University0.7313.2%1st Place
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7.14North Carolina State University-0.054.8%1st Place
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7.63Clemson University0.233.5%1st Place
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7.31University of North Carolina-0.054.3%1st Place
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4.16North Carolina State University1.1213.2%1st Place
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6.69Duke University0.065.5%1st Place
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7.55University of North Carolina-0.244.3%1st Place
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6.38Clemson University-0.176.0%1st Place
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10.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.1%1st Place
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6.2Clemson University0.236.6%1st Place
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11.32University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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11.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.7%1st Place
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11.52University of Tennessee-1.880.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 35.4% | 25.4% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 13.2% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 23.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 29.0% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.