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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+6.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.98+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.24+5.07vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+4.17vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.12-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.05+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+4.26vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-3.06vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.05-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.71+2.23vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.20-4.00vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-5.30vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.45vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.17-7.07vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee-1.88-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Duke University0.064.5%1st Place
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2.68College of Charleston1.9832.6%1st Place
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8.07University of North Carolina-0.243.4%1st Place
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8.17Clemson University0.232.9%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University1.1215.6%1st Place
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7.7University of North Carolina-0.053.9%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.8%1st Place
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4.94Clemson University0.7312.6%1st Place
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7.72North Carolina State University-0.054.5%1st Place
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12.23University of South Carolina-1.710.5%1st Place
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7.0Wake Forest University0.204.9%1st Place
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6.7Clemson University0.236.4%1st Place
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12.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.5%1st Place
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6.93Clemson University-0.175.8%1st Place
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12.58University of Tennessee-1.880.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 32.6% | 24.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.6% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 24.1% |
| Dylan Flack | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 30.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.