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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.87+1.47vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+3.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.27-1.00vs Predicted
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4Queen's University2.04-0.48vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.90-1.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.83vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.45-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.52Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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2.0Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.52Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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3.78Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.17U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.54Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hannon | 28.6% | 29.2% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 26.3% | 34.0% |
| Philip Alley | 41.9% | 30.7% | 16.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.6% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Michael Dinneen | 9.1% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 26.4% | 22.7% |
| James McManus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.