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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.98+1.71vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+2.77vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+3.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.12-0.79vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.53-1.30vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.88+2.66vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17-3.40vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-4.64vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71College of Charleston1.9832.8%1st Place
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4.77Clemson University0.7311.5%1st Place
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7.48Clemson University0.234.2%1st Place
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7.78University of North Carolina-0.243.0%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University1.1214.8%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University-0.054.3%1st Place
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5.7University of North Carolina0.538.1%1st Place
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6.82Duke University0.065.3%1st Place
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11.66University of Tennessee-1.880.8%1st Place
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6.6Clemson University-0.175.8%1st Place
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6.36Clemson University0.237.2%1st Place
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10.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.360.8%1st Place
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11.4University of South Carolina-1.710.7%1st Place
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11.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 32.8% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Baugh | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 31.2% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 13.8% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 23.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.