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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.92+1.80vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+0.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.62+0.09vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70-2.03vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.10-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Tufts University1.920.2%1st Place
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2.57Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.09Bowdoin College1.620.1%1st Place
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1.97Harvard University2.700.4%1st Place
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4.58Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Downer | 19.4% | 22.0% | 26.6% | 23.6% | 8.4% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 21.6% | 28.1% | 26.3% | 19.9% | 4.1% |
| Benjmain Berg | 14.2% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 36.4% | 9.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 42.8% | 28.6% | 18.6% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Josh Basseches | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.