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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+3.20vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+4.78vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.53+1.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Tennessee-1.88+5.65vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.23+0.66vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.98-5.35vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.24-1.35vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.17-3.43vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.35vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-5.61vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.71-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2North Carolina State University1.1214.1%1st Place
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6.78Duke University0.065.3%1st Place
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4.69Clemson University0.7314.0%1st Place
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5.78University of North Carolina0.537.0%1st Place
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7.13North Carolina State University-0.054.7%1st Place
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11.65University of Tennessee-1.880.9%1st Place
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7.66Clemson University0.233.9%1st Place
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2.65College of Charleston1.9832.4%1st Place
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7.65University of North Carolina-0.243.6%1st Place
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6.57Clemson University-0.175.0%1st Place
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10.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.7%1st Place
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6.39Clemson University0.236.0%1st Place
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11.41University of South Carolina-1.710.9%1st Place
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11.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Baugh | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 28.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 32.4% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Bialek | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 13.5% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 24.2% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.