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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.32vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.12+4.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.14-0.86vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.25+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+4.23vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.03-0.87vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.88+0.91vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.02-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98-1.03vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.54-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.46-4.64vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32North Carolina State University1.5319.2%1st Place
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6.09Clemson University0.126.2%1st Place
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2.14College of Charleston2.1442.2%1st Place
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7.17Duke University-0.253.9%1st Place
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5.62University of North Carolina0.226.8%1st Place
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10.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.8%1st Place
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6.13North Carolina State University-0.035.0%1st Place
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8.91Clemson University-0.881.6%1st Place
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6.52Clemson University0.024.8%1st Place
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8.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.982.1%1st Place
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7.78Clemson University-0.543.5%1st Place
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7.36University of North Carolina-0.463.2%1st Place
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10.75University of South Carolina-1.800.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 19.2% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Thomson | 42.2% | 28.1% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Froeb | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Noah Jost | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Erin Winters | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 26.6% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| May Proctor | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.