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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.92+1.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.70-0.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12-0.44vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.62-0.92vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.10-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University1.920.2%1st Place
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1.96Harvard University2.700.4%1st Place
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2.56Boston University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.08Bowdoin College1.620.1%1st Place
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4.57Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Downer | 19.4% | 21.2% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 8.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 42.2% | 29.6% | 19.0% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 24.1% | 25.4% | 24.8% | 21.4% | 4.3% |
| Benjmain Berg | 12.5% | 20.1% | 23.8% | 34.4% | 9.2% |
| Josh Basseches | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.