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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.12+4.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+6.18vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+0.79vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.54+1.77vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.03-0.87vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.25-1.02vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.02-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+0.10vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.46-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.80-1.29vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.88-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Clemson University0.126.9%1st Place
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2.11College of Charleston2.1441.1%1st Place
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9.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.9%1st Place
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3.31North Carolina State University1.5319.0%1st Place
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5.79University of North Carolina0.226.3%1st Place
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7.77Clemson University-0.543.0%1st Place
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6.13North Carolina State University-0.035.5%1st Place
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6.98Duke University-0.254.0%1st Place
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6.63Clemson University0.024.5%1st Place
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10.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.2%1st Place
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7.53University of North Carolina-0.463.2%1st Place
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10.71University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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8.81Clemson University-0.882.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Thomson | 41.1% | 29.5% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.0% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Erin Winters | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 25.7% |
| May Proctor | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 39.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.