← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.12+4.59vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.14-0.02vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.53+0.11vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.02+2.23vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+3.67vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.25+0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.46+0.19vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.03-2.24vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-1.75+1.44vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.54-2.81vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-1.80-0.69vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-2.36vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University-0.88-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.59Clemson University0.126.3%1st Place
-
1.98College of Charleston2.1444.9%1st Place
-
3.11North Carolina State University1.5320.5%1st Place
-
6.23Clemson University0.024.6%1st Place
-
8.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.7%1st Place
-
6.62Duke University-0.254.2%1st Place
-
7.19University of North Carolina-0.463.3%1st Place
-
5.76North Carolina State University-0.035.7%1st Place
-
10.44University of North Carolina-1.751.2%1st Place
-
7.19Clemson University-0.543.7%1st Place
-
10.31University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.9%1st Place
-
8.26Clemson University-0.881.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Thomson | 44.9% | 29.9% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.5% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| May Proctor | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 31.6% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 30.7% |
| Erin Winters | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.