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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.00vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+1.69vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+2.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-0.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-3.40vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.83vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.99vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.64-4.06vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.50-4.65vs Predicted
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15Queen's University2.11-0.47vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.95vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-3.06vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.60-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.09Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.94SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.02Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.53Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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13.94Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Mac Mace | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nick Dugdale | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 23.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Collin Weston | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| David Oliver | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 20.0% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.