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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.02+5.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.03vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.12+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.46+3.02vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+2.55vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.25-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.75+2.35vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80+1.40vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-0.24vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.54-3.57vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.03-6.31vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.88-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Clemson University0.025.2%1st Place
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2.03College of Charleston2.1445.0%1st Place
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5.63Clemson University0.125.5%1st Place
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7.02University of North Carolina-0.463.0%1st Place
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3.08North Carolina State University1.5321.2%1st Place
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8.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.7%1st Place
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6.66Duke University-0.254.1%1st Place
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10.35University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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10.4University of South Carolina-1.800.9%1st Place
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9.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.4%1st Place
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7.43Clemson University-0.543.1%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University-0.035.6%1st Place
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8.24Clemson University-0.882.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Priskich | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Harrison Thomson | 45.0% | 26.7% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.2% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 30.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 31.2% |
| Erin Winters | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.