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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.12+4.47vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.14+0.03vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.16vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.02+2.20vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.03+0.68vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.25+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46-0.99vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.54-1.72vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.88-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.80-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.75-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Clemson University0.126.4%1st Place
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2.03College of Charleston2.1444.0%1st Place
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3.16North Carolina State University1.5320.0%1st Place
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6.2Clemson University0.024.9%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University-0.035.7%1st Place
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6.68Duke University-0.255.0%1st Place
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8.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.9%1st Place
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7.01University of North Carolina-0.464.0%1st Place
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7.28Clemson University-0.543.1%1st Place
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8.36Clemson University-0.881.8%1st Place
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9.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.2%1st Place
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10.38University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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10.44University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Thomson | 44.0% | 29.1% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.0% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Froeb | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 8.7% |
| May Proctor | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Erin Winters | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 28.8% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.