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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.12+4.58vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.06vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.14-0.97vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.02+2.02vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.54+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.46+0.09vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.03-2.32vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.25-2.32vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.88-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-1.75-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Clemson University0.126.5%1st Place
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3.06North Carolina State University1.5321.1%1st Place
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2.03College of Charleston2.1443.4%1st Place
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6.02Clemson University0.025.3%1st Place
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7.28Clemson University-0.542.6%1st Place
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8.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.8%1st Place
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7.09University of North Carolina-0.463.5%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University-0.036.0%1st Place
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6.68Duke University-0.254.3%1st Place
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8.34Clemson University-0.882.0%1st Place
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9.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.2%1st Place
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10.44University of North Carolina-1.750.7%1st Place
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10.5University of South Carolina-1.801.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.1% | 23.8% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 43.4% | 30.2% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Annika Milstien | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Erin Winters | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 32.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.