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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.12+4.66vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.06vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.03+2.81vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.14-1.99vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.88+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.98+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+2.75vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.80+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.75+1.37vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.25-3.36vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.02-4.82vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.46-4.98vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.54-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Clemson University0.126.2%1st Place
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3.06North Carolina State University1.5321.9%1st Place
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5.81North Carolina State University-0.034.7%1st Place
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2.01College of Charleston2.1444.8%1st Place
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8.3Clemson University-0.882.1%1st Place
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8.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.981.9%1st Place
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9.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.451.1%1st Place
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10.39University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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10.37University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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6.64Duke University-0.254.3%1st Place
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6.18Clemson University0.024.0%1st Place
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7.02University of North Carolina-0.463.8%1st Place
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7.3Clemson University-0.543.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Usher | 21.9% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Thomson | 44.8% | 28.5% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Erin Winters | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 30.3% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 29.0% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.