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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Stanford University2.90+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis1.68+1.96vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.19+4.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.86-0.28vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.92-0.23vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.04-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.19-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-5.37vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.44-3.36vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.02-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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8.37California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
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3.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
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6.27Santa Clara University1.040.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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7.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.440.0%1st Place
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8.45California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pedrick | 30.4% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 26.0% |
| Dan Sundberg | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Francesca Delle Cese | 21.9% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Kenton Stutz | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| Mickail Murawski | 9.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Absy | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| Trevor Fournier | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.