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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.37vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+1.81vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.54+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.64+1.47vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.29+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.58-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.55-3.09vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.36-2.53vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Western Washington University1.8119.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington1.8324.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University1.3311.5%1st Place
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7.18Western Washington University0.545.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Washington0.646.8%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University0.836.7%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Washington-0.292.1%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Berkeley0.586.5%1st Place
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6.91University of Washington0.555.2%1st Place
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8.94University of Oregon0.112.5%1st Place
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9.47University of Washington-0.362.9%1st Place
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11.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 19.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 24.1% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 11.2% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Emily Avey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.