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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+1.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.29-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Princeton University-0.3223.7%1st Place
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2.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.6013.6%1st Place
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1.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2953.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Delaware-1.299.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Carly Mraz | 23.7% | 30.8% | 27.7% | 17.9% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.6% | 21.4% | 34.0% | 31.1% |
Annika VanderHorst | 53.1% | 31.2% | 13.0% | 2.7% |
Seton Dill | 9.7% | 16.6% | 25.4% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.