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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.09vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+7.95vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.95vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+4.00vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+3.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.97vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-0.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-2.01vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.51-6.00vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-5.44vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.50-4.69vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-1.23vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.81vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.60-1.17vs Predicted
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18Queen's University2.11-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.95University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.95SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.03Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.77Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.83University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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14.41Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mac Mace | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Collin Weston | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 16.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| David Oliver | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 49.3% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.