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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+8.28vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+5.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+5.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+0.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-1.25vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.64+0.94vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.50+0.62vs Predicted
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10Queen's University2.11+4.70vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.71vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.10vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.38vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-7.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.92vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-3.09vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.60-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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14.7Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.49Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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13.91Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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15.62University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Will Stocke | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 22.4% | 27.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Collin Weston | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 17.2% |
| David Oliver | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.