← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.32+1.40vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.85vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.29-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4Princeton University-0.3221.8%1st Place
-
2.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.6013.6%1st Place
-
1.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2954.4%1st Place
-
3.11University of Delaware-1.2910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 21.8% | 33.5% | 27.6% | 17.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.6% | 20.2% | 33.8% | 32.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 54.4% | 30.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% |
| Seton Dill | 10.2% | 15.8% | 26.9% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.