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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+1.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.29-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Princeton University-0.3221.2%1st Place
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1.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2954.2%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.6014.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Delaware-1.2910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 21.2% | 31.7% | 29.0% | 18.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 54.2% | 28.3% | 13.7% | 3.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 14.1% | 22.5% | 30.5% | 32.9% |
| Seton Dill | 10.4% | 17.4% | 26.8% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.