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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+8.04vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+7.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+5.56vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+2.96vs Predicted
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7Queen's University2.11+7.47vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99-0.36vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+0.05vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.79vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-4.05vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-6.27vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.50-4.68vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-7.09vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.60-1.16vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.16-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.26Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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14.47Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.93Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 24.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Collin Weston | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 17.0% |
| David Oliver | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 48.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.