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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.32+1.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.29+0.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Princeton University-0.3223.4%1st Place
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1.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2953.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Delaware-1.299.3%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.6014.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 23.4% | 31.7% | 27.3% | 17.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 53.1% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 3.2% |
| Seton Dill | 9.3% | 16.0% | 28.1% | 46.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 14.1% | 23.0% | 30.4% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.