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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.31vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+7.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.66+6.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+4.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51+0.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+3.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19-1.22vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-0.07vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-4.04vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.50-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.30vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-7.11vs Predicted
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16Queen's University2.11-1.38vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36-3.05vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.60-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.28Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.93University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.14SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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14.62Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.95Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nick Dugdale | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 23.2% | 24.6% |
| Collin Weston | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| David Oliver | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 20.4% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.