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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.71vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.74+3.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.43+1.58vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.99-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.52-0.70vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.52+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.80-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.58-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.9%1st Place
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5.23Arizona State University0.747.5%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Irvine0.4311.8%1st Place
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3.41Arizona State University0.9919.3%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.5213.1%1st Place
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6.68Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego-0.584.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.4%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Irvine-0.803.2%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.3%1st Place
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8.67University of California at San Diego-1.581.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 30.9% | 23.1% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Juan Casal | 19.3% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Garcia | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Liam Williams | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 25.9% |
| Bella Valente | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.