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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+8.26vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+6.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.70+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+2.61vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.50+3.63vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+0.56vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.98vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65-0.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.69vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+0.67vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-4.61vs Predicted
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15Queen's University2.11-0.48vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College4.15-8.93vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-8.95vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.60-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.3Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.02Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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14.52Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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15.66University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Collin Weston | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| Will Stocke | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 24.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| David Oliver | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 21.0% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.