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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.67vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.33+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.64+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.29+4.15vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.54+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.38vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.83-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.55-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-1.06vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.36-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.58-5.34vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Western Washington University1.8119.8%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University1.3311.4%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington1.8322.9%1st Place
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6.66University of Washington0.647.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Washington-0.292.5%1st Place
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7.15Western Washington University0.545.3%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley0.987.6%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.837.5%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington0.554.7%1st Place
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8.94University of Oregon0.112.9%1st Place
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9.46University of Washington-0.361.6%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Berkeley0.585.8%1st Place
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11.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.210.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 19.8% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 13.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| matthew Huskins | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 10.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 16.2% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.