← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University2.04+2.73vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University2.87+0.60vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University3.27-0.93vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.79+1.75vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy0.86+0.65vs Predicted
-
6Hamilton College0.45+0.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo0.79-1.25vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-2.90vs Predicted
-
10Colgate University1.90-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.73Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
-
2.6Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
-
2.07Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
-
5.75University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.65U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
6.2Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.1Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
-
3.91Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Soosalu | 10.8% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 26.5% | 27.0% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 41.6% | 27.4% | 19.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dinneen | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.