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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+7.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.88vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.50vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+2.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+3.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19-0.10vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+5.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.82vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.83vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.60+2.59vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-5.21vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.06vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.65-6.84vs Predicted
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17Queen's University2.11-2.31vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.5Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.0%1st Place
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9.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.17SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.59University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.16Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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14.69Queen's University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Collin Weston | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 16.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| David Oliver | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 44.9% |
| Mac Mace | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Lance Fraser | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 22.5% | 26.6% |
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.