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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.52+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.78vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.74+2.14vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.99-0.66vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.52+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.43-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.80-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.58-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.5212.8%1st Place
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2.78University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.0%1st Place
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5.14Arizona State University0.748.5%1st Place
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3.34Arizona State University0.9920.4%1st Place
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6.71Arizona State University-0.523.8%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Irvine0.4311.3%1st Place
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6.51University of California at San Diego-0.584.9%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.6%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.4%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Irvine-0.802.9%1st Place
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8.88University of California at San Diego-1.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Garcia | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.0% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Juan Casal | 20.4% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Liam Williams | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 27.8% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Bella Valente | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.