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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.74+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.57vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.52+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.80+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.52-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.43-4.33vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.99-6.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.58-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Arizona State University0.748.4%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.4%1st Place
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6.57University of California at San Diego-0.584.8%1st Place
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6.56Arizona State University-0.524.1%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Irvine-0.804.0%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.5211.2%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.5%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.9%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Irvine0.4310.0%1st Place
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3.29Arizona State University0.9922.3%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego-1.581.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.4% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| David Garcia | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Williams | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 16.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 26.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Juan Casal | 22.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.