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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.48+6.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.71vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+4.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+0.10vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.43+3.71vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.93-2.52vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.38-2.47vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.98vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29-0.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-7.56vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.65vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-2.11vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.45vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.71Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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12.08Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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13.89Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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15.55Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.7University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 4.4% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 32.3% | 24.6% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.