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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.74+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.43+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.52+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.80+2.70vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.52+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.11vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.55+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.58-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Arizona State University0.7410.2%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Irvine0.4312.0%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.5216.7%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Irvine-0.803.6%1st Place
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6.06Arizona State University-0.525.8%1st Place
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6.11University of California at San Diego-0.584.7%1st Place
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8.3Arizona State University-1.551.8%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.6%1st Place
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8.36University of California at San Diego-1.582.8%1st Place
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2.36University of California at Los Angeles1.3037.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Garcia | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Down | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 25.1% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| Liam Williams | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| Bella Valente | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 27.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 37.8% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.