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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+5.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.13vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.36vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.93+0.53vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.48-1.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.23vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+0.52vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-4.30vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-0.43vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.43-4.02vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.21-0.13vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.03-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.67SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.39University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.52Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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13.57Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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16.87University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
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15.36Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 5.8% |
| Christina Johns | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 4.4% |
| Alex Olt | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 16.8% | 63.3% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 30.9% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.