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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.78vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.82+1.69vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.74+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.43+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+3.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.52-2.72vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.55+1.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.80-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.58-1.73vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.52-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.8%1st Place
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3.69California State University Channel Islands0.8217.5%1st Place
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5.38Arizona State University0.747.2%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Irvine0.4312.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.4%1st Place
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6.78University of California at San Diego-0.584.9%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.5213.9%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University-1.551.5%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Irvine-0.803.1%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.6%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego-1.581.4%1st Place
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7.01Arizona State University-0.524.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 29.8% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 17.5% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 20.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| David Garcia | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 26.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Liam Williams | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.6% |
| Bella Valente | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 25.5% |
| Andrew Down | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.