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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.98vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+2.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+2.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.43+5.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.48-2.60vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-4.37vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29-0.54vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-4.67vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-0.99vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.03-0.51vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.21-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.03SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.46Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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13.01Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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14.49Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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15.93University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Coleman Terrell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 6.1% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 29.9% | 24.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.