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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.41+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.55vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.09+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.05+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.36-0.85vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.53-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-2.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.18-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Arizona State University-0.4114.7%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.2429.5%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Irvine-0.3613.0%1st Place
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5.69Arizona State University-1.097.8%1st Place
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7.74University of California at San Diego-2.053.5%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.297.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Irvine-1.366.1%1st Place
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6.72Arizona State University-1.535.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.635.5%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego-1.685.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Los Angeles-2.182.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Holguin | 29.5% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Maria Gunness | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| Teresa Dang | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Stank | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Aidan Araoz | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Grace Richie | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.