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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.41+3.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.36+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-1.16vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.53+1.60vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.09-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.18-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Arizona State University-0.4114.5%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Irvine-0.3612.9%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Irvine-1.366.8%1st Place
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2.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.2428.9%1st Place
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6.6Arizona State University-1.535.5%1st Place
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5.48Arizona State University-1.099.0%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Los Angeles-1.296.9%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.634.2%1st Place
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7.07University of California at San Diego-1.685.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.182.6%1st Place
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7.79University of California at San Diego-2.053.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Stank | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 28.9% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Teresa Dang | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Araoz | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.5% |
| Grace Richie | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 27.8% |
| Maria Gunness | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.