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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+4.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+2.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+1.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.97vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+2.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.43+2.81vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.74vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+1.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.38-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-4.47vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-0.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-5.69vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.60vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.03-1.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.21-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.7Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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11.48Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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12.96Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.64Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Harry Scott | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 8.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 5.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 34.2% | 21.2% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.