← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University4.08+5.18vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.05+4.24vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.84vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.34vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.72vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.93+0.60vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.70vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.48+0.02vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.38-0.52vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.48vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.29+1.39vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.39-3.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami2.43-1.31vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.80-7.23vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University3.30-6.26vs Predicted
-
16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-2.15vs Predicted
-
17Queen's University1.03-1.48vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.21-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.18Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.24Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
6.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.6College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.7SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.02University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
-
12.39Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.74Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.69University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.77Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.74Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
-
13.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
-
15.52Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
-
16.69University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Peter Johns | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Olt | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 7.7% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 30.5% | 24.4% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 20.7% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.