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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.64vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.41+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.21vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.09+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.63+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.05+0.72vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.53-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.36-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.18-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of California at Irvine-0.3611.9%1st Place
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4.18Arizona State University-0.4114.8%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.2430.3%1st Place
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5.59Arizona State University-1.098.8%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.634.9%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.297.6%1st Place
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7.72University of California at San Diego-2.052.9%1st Place
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6.66Arizona State University-1.534.9%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Irvine-1.365.9%1st Place
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7.22University of California at San Diego-1.684.2%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles-2.183.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Swatek | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Holguin | 30.3% | 23.9% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Araoz | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% |
| Teresa Dang | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Stank | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Grace Richie | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.