← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University-0.41+3.19vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+4.06vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-0.13vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-0.36+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.53+1.78vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-1.09-0.36vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.18+1.11vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-1.36-1.89vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-2.13vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.68-3.12vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19Arizona State University-0.4115.3%1st Place
-
6.06University of California at Los Angeles-1.297.1%1st Place
-
2.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.2429.1%1st Place
-
4.7University of California at Irvine-0.3612.0%1st Place
-
6.78Arizona State University-1.535.0%1st Place
-
5.64Arizona State University-1.096.7%1st Place
-
8.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.183.8%1st Place
-
6.11University of California at Irvine-1.366.6%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.635.3%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at San Diego-1.685.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of California at San Diego-2.053.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Teresa Dang | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 29.1% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 27.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Aidan Araoz | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% |
| Grace Richie | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Maria Gunness | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.