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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+5.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.80vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.30vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.38+2.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+1.78vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.48-0.94vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.43+0.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.73vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-4.68vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-0.42vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.71vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.03-0.46vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.59SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.58Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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12.29Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.54Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| William Haeger | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 6.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 31.9% | 23.9% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.5% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 19.8% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.