← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University-0.41+3.23vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University-1.09+3.34vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+3.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-2.05+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.53+1.55vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.33vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.24-4.17vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-2.18+0.25vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.63-2.05vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-1.36-3.72vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.68-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Arizona State University-0.4113.9%1st Place
-
5.34Arizona State University-1.099.7%1st Place
-
6.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.297.1%1st Place
-
7.76University of California at San Diego-2.053.6%1st Place
-
6.55Arizona State University-1.535.9%1st Place
-
4.67University of California at Irvine-0.3611.6%1st Place
-
2.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.2430.0%1st Place
-
8.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.182.5%1st Place
-
6.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.634.7%1st Place
-
6.28University of California at Irvine-1.365.9%1st Place
-
7.11University of California at San Diego-1.685.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Teresa Dang | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 21.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hunter Holguin | 30.0% | 23.2% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 28.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% |
| Matthew Stank | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Grace Richie | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.