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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.66vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+4.71vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+4.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.38+1.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93-1.50vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.43+2.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.05vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-4.90vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29-1.91vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.03+0.56vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.52vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-3.08vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.08SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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12.09Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.56Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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13.92Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 29.3% | 24.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 6.2% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 6.9% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 20.0% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.