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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.90+2.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.27+0.12vs Predicted
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3Queen's University2.04+0.72vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.87-1.43vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+1.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.79-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.79-2.21vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.45-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Colgate University1.900.1%1st Place
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2.12Cornell University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.72Queen's University2.040.1%1st Place
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2.57Columbia University2.870.3%1st Place
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6.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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6.14Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dinneen | 9.9% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 40.1% | 27.7% | 18.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Soosalu | 11.9% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 26.2% | 27.2% | 23.5% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 24.8% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Weigand | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 22.5% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.