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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.83+1.44vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.33+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.55+2.88vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.83+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.64-0.29vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.29-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.11-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.36-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Western Washington University1.8120.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Washington1.8322.4%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University1.3312.5%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington0.555.3%1st Place
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6.3Western Washington University0.837.3%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.586.3%1st Place
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6.71University of Washington0.645.5%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University0.545.1%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
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9.18University of Washington-0.292.4%1st Place
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8.98University of Oregon0.112.9%1st Place
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11.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.2%1st Place
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9.39University of Washington-0.362.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 20.2% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 22.4% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 13.8% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 11.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 49.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.