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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.41+3.74vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.38+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.63+2.64vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.53+1.50vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.09-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.36-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.18-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.05-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Arizona State University-0.4111.2%1st Place
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4.35California State University Channel Islands-0.3814.9%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.2426.3%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Irvine-0.3611.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.633.8%1st Place
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7.5Arizona State University-1.535.4%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-1.097.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Irvine-1.365.3%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.182.4%1st Place
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7.94University of California at San Diego-1.683.8%1st Place
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8.53University of California at San Diego-2.052.8%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.296.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 26.3% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Araoz | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Camden Wacha | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 28.1% |
| Grace Richie | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 20.1% |
| Teresa Dang | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.