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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+5.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.96vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.00vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+2.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+1.56vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+3.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-3.85vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.48-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43-1.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.67vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-2.66vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.77-2.07vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.03-1.44vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.21-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.56Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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12.34Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.93Texas A&M University at Galveston1.770.0%1st Place
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15.56Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Johns | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Olt | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Coleman Terrell | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 31.5% | 24.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 20.2% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.